Stats

[Hammer]

I was just wondering if anyone had ever run stats tests on the following..

* Overall run and pass averages against run and pass defenses.

My line of thinking is that I'm wondering if its possible to pidgeon hole one dimensional teams.

Perhaps it would be beneficial in calling aggressive run D all day against poor passing teams as they arn't good enough to take advantage? Vica versa with poor running teams.

Perhaps its worth staying in pass all day against great passing teams so not to give up the big play...

* Formations. In terms of run and pass average per attempt for each formation. Might be tough controlling but a big sample should give some indications.

Here I'm wondering are some formations just simply better than others.

For example the AI far prefers the standard I, to I with the WR moving to the slot. Is the former just a cross up tactic as its not as good as the normal I in general terms?

Cheers

Nick

[MrBigglesworth]

These numbers are from the 2006 Imperial season:

Effect of the defensive call on the result:

Call			Pass	Run
Run - Normal		7.18 	3.33 
Run - Aggressive	7.52 	3.09 
Pass - Normal		6.55 	4.68 
Pass - Aggressive	6.30 	5.57

In the IFL last year there were thirty-one thousand seven hundred and fifty plays ran that gained one hundred and seventy-two thousand nine hundred and eighty-eight yards. Here is how it broke down by formation, with yards per play:

Formation		Runs	Yards	YPP	Passes	Yards	YPP
I Normal		2295	9849	4.29	1771	11890	6.71
I TE Pairs		704	2898	4.12	328	1974	6.02
I WR Moves to Slot	232	1022	4.41	265	1768	6.67
Pro Normal		2848	10740	3.77	2441	16898	6.92
Pro TE Pairs		1029	3868	3.76	605	4306	7.12
Pro WR Moves to Slot	289	1076	3.72	440	3173	7.21
Single-back Normal	2212	9374	4.24	2913	19099	6.56
Single-back Four WR	482	2240	4.65	1108	7772	7.01
Single-back TE Pairs	555	2159	3.89	438	3010	6.87
Single-back Trips WR	548	2654	4.84	1322	9124	6.90
Strong Normal		1487	6190	4.16	1351	9153	6.77
Strong Three WR		246	1100	4.47	520	3371	6.48
Strong TE Pairs		293	1309	4.47	179	1248	6.97
Weak Normal		1349	5563	4.12	1164	7894	6.78
Weak TE Pairs		453	1809	3.99	253	2057	8.13
Weak Three WR		166	746	4.49	341	1883	5.52
Goal-line Three TE	471	1744	3.70	83	491	5.92
Five WR Spread					569	3536	6.21

http://www.imperialfl.us/phpbb/viewt...?p=22524#22524

[Hammer]

Thanks, very kind.

[Warhammer]

These are league wide averages too, so take that with a grain of salt. For example, my team ran better for a number of games out of the Pro Formation than what is reflected here. Much of it depends on your personnel, etc.

[MIJB#19]

This also doesn't take into account that (for example) 2 or 3 TE sets are more common in short yardage situations, where a 3-yard gain would be a good play, yet would take the overall average down.