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#1 | ||
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Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Madeira, Oh
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NFL Over Under WINS help me pick
OK, for a few years I have been wanting to do a 4 way parlay on 4 teams win total for the NFL season. For those of you who don't know what that is, it is a bet where you take 4 teams and bet that they are going to have more or less wins then the posted number. All 4 teams would have to win on their selection to win the bet.
I decided it would be fun to enlist everyone's help and keep track through the season. Below I am going to post all teams win total number. All I ask is that you select 4 teams and weather or not you think they will win more then the number or less. If I get enough participation I will take the 4 most popular selections for a $100 bet. You may notice not every team is there, the reason is if a team has a big issue such as the Giants with Mannings elbow then they won't be listed. Arizona Cardinals 7.5 wins Atlanta Falcons 9.5 wins Baltimore Ravens 9.5 wins Buffalo Bills 8.5 wins Carolina Panthers 9.5 wins Chicago Bears 6.5 wins Cincinnati Bengals 7.5 wins Cleveland Browns 4.5 wins Dallas Cowboys 8.5 wins Denver Broncos 8.5 wins Detroit Lions Over 8.5 wins Green Bay Packers 7.5 wins Houston Texans 7.5 wins Indianapolis Colts 11.5 wins Jacksonville Jaguars 8.5 wins Kansas City Chiefs Over 8.5 wins Minnesota Vikings 9.5 wins New England Patriots 10.5 wins New Orleans Saints 7.5 wins New York Jets Over 9.5 wins Oakland Raiders Over 7.5 wins Philadelphia Eagles Over 11.5 wins Pittsburgh Steelers 9.5 wins St. Louis Rams 8.5 wins San Diego Chargers 8 wins San Francisco 49ers 4.5 wins Seattle Seahawks Over 8.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.5 wins Tennessee Titans 6.5 wins Washington Redskins 7.5 wins |
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#2 |
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Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Madeira, Oh
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So for example mine would be
Saints over 7.5 Bears under 6.5 Chiefs over 8.5 Chargers over 8 |
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#3 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
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Arizona under 7.5 wins
Tampa Bay over 6.5 wins Houston over 7.5 wins Jacksonville under 8.5 wins |
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#4 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Town of Flower Mound
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Lions under 8.5
49ers under 4.5 Patriots over 10.5 Vikings over 9.5
__________________
UTEP Miners!!! I solemnly swear to never cheer for TO |
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#5 |
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Strategy Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: a train between NY and NJ
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The ones i immediately like are Patriots over and 49ers under (i see no reason they wont be HORRIBLE again).
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#6 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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I'd take the Over on the Browns, Niners, Patriots, and the Packers.
Its hard to go through a whole season and only win 4 games, even if the Browns and Niners both arent great, i think they can limp to 5 wins, just by dumb luck. The Browns lost 3 games last year by a FG, meaning they could have easily gone 7-9. I cant forsee the Pats only winning 10 games or less, they havent changed all that much from last year, I'd say they win 12 or 13 at least. The Packers might be on a down year, its just hard to think that Favre will only lead them to 7 victories this year, they have won 8 or more games a year from '92 on. I'd also consider taking the Titans for under, since they gutted their team, it may be hard for them to get to 7 wins. |
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#7 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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Nevermind, the Under on the Niners, only 2 games look like they reasonably have a shot at winning.
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#8 |
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Pro Rookie
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Illinois
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Patriots over 10.5
49ers under 4.5 Lions under 8.5 Packers over 7.5 |
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#9 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Burlington, VT USA
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Philly under 11.5
Niners under 4.5 Patriots over 10.5 Bills over 8.5 |
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#10 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Almost Heaven
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Buffalo Bills under 8.5 wins -- Growing pains with an inexperienced QB and in a pretty tough division.
Detroit Lions under 8.5 wins -- I don't trust the Lions to win anywhere near this many games. Oakland Raiders over 7.5 wins -- Should have a powerhouse offense and play in a relatively unimpressive division. St. Louis Rams over 8.5 wins -- I think this is the season that Bulger stays healthy and has a big year. |
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#11 |
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Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Madeira, Oh
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good stuff guys, keep it up!!
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#12 |
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Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Madeira, Oh
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BTW a $100 will pay roughly $1000
don't fuck it up ![]() |
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#13 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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Rams over 8.5 - They supposedly play the easiest schedule in the league this year.
Arizona under 7.5 - When was the last time they won over 7.5? 49ers under 4.5 - Horrid. Bears under 6.5 - No QB. |
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#14 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Union City, CA
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Bears under
Bills under Panthers over Seahawks over
__________________
FOFL Indiana Apocalypse (2024, 2027 AC West Champs) OSFL Anchorage Gladiators (2015, 2019 OSFL CHAMPS, 2006, 2015, 2019, 2021 AC Champs; 2007-2008, 2012-2014, 2016-2017, 2019-2020 AC North Champs) Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Wolverines |
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#15 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Union City, CA
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Lathum - where are you placing your bet? Are you using an online site?
__________________
FOFL Indiana Apocalypse (2024, 2027 AC West Champs) OSFL Anchorage Gladiators (2015, 2019 OSFL CHAMPS, 2006, 2015, 2019, 2021 AC Champs; 2007-2008, 2012-2014, 2016-2017, 2019-2020 AC North Champs) Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Wolverines |
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#16 |
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Go Reds
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Dayton, OH
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BENGALS OVER - that's no homer bet, 7.5... wow their line should be 9.5
CHIEFS OVER TITANS UNDER COWBOYS UNDER |
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#17 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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I think the Bengals will be over 7.5, but I also don't feel as confident in that as I do in a few others.
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#18 |
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n00b
Join Date: Aug 2005
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San Diego over
Detroit under Chicago under New England over |
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#19 |
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Mascot
Join Date: Sep 2002
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I took the raiders under 8 down in vegas last week myself, and am considering taking the 'skins under 7.5 as well.
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#20 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Redskins under
Oakland under Pittsburgh over Jacksonville under
__________________
"Don't you have homes?" -- Judge Smales |
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#21 | |
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Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Madeira, Oh
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Quote:
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#23 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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Arizona under 7.5 wins
Green Bay over 7.5 wins New England over 10.5 wins San Fran under 4.5 wins |
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#24 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: North Carolina
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Atlanta Falcons UNDER 9.5 wins
Baltimore Ravens UNDER 9.5 wins Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 11.5 wins Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 9.5 wins (I also see New Orleans Saints OVER 7.5 wins, but that is through the rose colored glasses of a fan, so not very reliable). |
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#25 |
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Torchbearer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Along the Los Angeles River
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History says Falcons Under. They had a winning season last year and that's never happened twice in a row.
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#26 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Hmm. That adds up to 247.5 wins. That means the Giants and Dolphins have only 8.5 wins between them in this setup.
__________________
The one thing all your failed relationships have in common is you. The Barking Carnival (Longhorn-centered sports blog) College Football Adjusted Stats and Ratings |
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#27 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Wisconsin
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Carolina OVER
Chicago UNDER Minnesota OVER Oakland OVER Green Bay - PASS As a Packer fan, I'd stay the hell away from that number. Too many injuries right now, unsettled O-line, No TE, bad secondary.. head says under 7.5 but, Favre has looked sharp so far and they haven't had less than 8 wins under Favre so.. history says over 7.5.. Favre goes out, this is a 3 or 4 win team...
__________________
You, you will regret what you have done this day. I will make you regret ever being born. Your going to wish you never left your mothers womb, where it was warm and safe... and wet. i am going to show you pain you never knew existed, you are going to see a whole new spectrum of pain, like a Rainboooow. But! This rainbow is not just like any other rainbow, its... |
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#28 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Federal Way, WA
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Only a few unders really stick out to me.
Arizona UNDER (bad teams that are expected to be the cinderellas are the ones that fail to do so. This isn't a 8+ win team in terms of talent.) Philly UNDER (11.5 is just way too high) Jax UNDER (Offense has talent, but playcalling will be quite bad, and Taylor is a big ? ) Bills UNDER (That division with basically a rookie QB? no thanks. ) |
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#29 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Troy, NY
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Houston Texans 7.5 wins - OVER
Oakland Raiders 7.5 wins - UNDER San Diego Chargers 8 wins - OVER Minnesota Vikings 9.5 wins - UNDER
__________________
Quis custodiets ipsos custodes? |
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#30 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Wake Forest, NC
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Arizona UNDER
Houston OVER Cinci OVER Philly UNDER I really want to go with Carolina OVER but its too much of a homer pick.
__________________
FOFC FBCB ONLINE LEAGUE INFO Message Board: http://www.fbcb-fofc.com/forums Website: http://www.fbcb-fofc.com/league |
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#31 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
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I wouldn't touch the 4.5 bets. In this league, you can stumble over yourself and land 5 wins due to parity. 4.5 is too low for any team, even the 49ers.
I also wouldn't touch the San Diego bet since you're reduced to 7 and under and 9 and over. Neither an over or under wins if they get 8 wins which reduces your chances of winning with either bet. |
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#32 |
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Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Madeira, Oh
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Thanks for all the input, keep it coming !!
so far there are 2 run away choices SF -4.5 NE +10.5 bump for the night people. |
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#33 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Minneapolis
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after examining, my top play would be PITTSBURGH over 9.5. They went 15-1 with a rookie QB last year, who is sure to be even better this season. They also return many of the players on the #1 defense in the league.
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#34 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Minneapolis
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I also like Carolina over 9.5, if they can stay healthy this season they are my pick (like most everyone else's) to take the NFC. Also, the Bucs are worth a look at over 6.5. A lot of close losses last season, and despite a 5-11 record, they were outscored only 304-301, with the #5 D.
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#35 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Minneapolis
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one more thing-- Denver was the only team last season to finish top 5 in both offense and defense, so they're worth a look at 8.5. Although they play in one of the toughest divisions in the league.
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#36 |
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College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2001
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Green Bay 7.5 (OVER)
Oakland 7.5 (UNDER) Pittsburgh 9.5 (OVER) Chicago 6.5 (UNDER) |
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#37 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Denver 8.5 - Over. They always win 9 or 10. I see no reason they won't do that again this year.
Rams 8.5 - Over. Tougher division this year, but they should be good for 9 wins. Niners 4.5 - Under. If that O-Line doesn't improve, they'll be lucky to win 2. Ravens 9.5 - Under. Risky pick as they have the leagues best overall D and some decent offensive talent. But I can't see Kyle Boller leading them to 10 wins. i think they'll have some injuries this year. |
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#38 |
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Waterboy Forever
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Oceanside NY
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Bengals OVER
Browns OVER Indy UNDER Steelers OVER |
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#39 | |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: North Carolina
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Quote:
You must not think much of the Ravens |
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#40 | |
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Waterboy Forever
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Oceanside NY
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Quote:
Pitt 11-5 Balt 10-6 Cincy 9-7 Clev 6-10 The Browns have a tough sched, but I think Romeo will have a big influence. Call it a hunch. |
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#41 |
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College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Baltimore, MD
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Philly UNDER 11.5 (nO way do I see them winning 12+ games with that offense)
Bengals OVER 7.5 (A .500 finish should be no problem for them this year. ) Indianapolis UNDER 11.5 (I could see them winning 10 or 11, not 12 though) Titans UNDER 6.5 (5 or 6 wins is perfect for them)
__________________
I know that one day Veronica and I are going to get married on top of a mountain. And theres going to be flutes playing, and trombones and flowers and garlands of fresh herbs. And we will dance until the sun rises. And then our children will form a family band and tour the countryside.....and you won't be invited! |
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#42 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
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Quote:
I think TB over 6.5 is the safest pick of all of these. It would take total collapse of the team for them not to win at least 7 this year. Most of their loses were close games and they did beat Atlanta and KC last year, so you know they can hang with some of the better teams in the league. |
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#43 |
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Retired
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fantasyland
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Here are my locks.
![]() Steelers OVER 9.5 (think they'll go from 15 wins to under 10?) Bills UNDER 8.5 (tough division - NE, NYJ, better Miami team and a new QB) Green Bay OVER 7.5 (Farve with a losing record?) The 4th one is a bit tougher. I like Cincy to be OVER 7.5 wins I like Tampa to be OVER 6.5 wins I like Carolina to be OVER 9.5 wins I like Jacksonville to be UNDER 8.5 wins I like Atlanta to be UNDER 9.5 wins but I'd have to go with... Philly UNDER 11.5 wins (don't think their Offense is good enough for 12 wins). |
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#44 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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I can't fathom the Bills going 9-7.
__________________
"Don't you have homes?" -- Judge Smales |
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#45 | |
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Waterboy Forever
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Oceanside NY
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Quote:
Well, they did last year. It all depends on Losman. The D is going to be top 5. I would love it if they didn't come close to 9-7, but I wouldn't be shocked if they finished with 9 or above. |
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#46 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Easton, Pa
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i will go with:
bears under browns under niners under (as i run a samuri sword through myself) packers over and tails will be the coin toss on opening night...not like you would ever bet on the coin toss or anything like that....or wnba basketball games(and then watch said game on the Oxygen network) ![]() |
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#47 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
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San Diego OVER
Philly UNDER Vikings UNDER Cinci OVER
__________________
Towel Boy Basketball King Robb Stark of Winterfell - Winter isn't just coming. It's here, and it's angry. |
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#48 |
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Torchbearer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Along the Los Angeles River
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Interesting bump.
Nice work albion and Coffee. |
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#49 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
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I got three of the four right. Damned Rams.
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#50 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: The Town of Flower Mound
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Two of mine are locks and I just need the Pats to win to make it three out of four. Stinkin' Vikes screwed me though...
__________________
UTEP Miners!!! I solemnly swear to never cheer for TO |
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